The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 36.9%
Draw 27.9%
Plymouth Argyle 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
26.4%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
26.8%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 6. Sibbick T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 8. Webster C. 23. Revan S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 10. Shade T. 9. Beesley J.
1. Hazard C. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 4. Wiredu B. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. 20. McCabe L. 11. Mumba B. 23. Ibrahim B. 18. Oseni O. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
3. Armer J. 26. Delap F. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F. 19. Williams D.
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Benarous A. 39. Finn T. 22. Galloway B. 7. Paterson J. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Tolaj L. ⚽,
69', Sibbick T. ↓, Delap F. ↑,
69', Evans G. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
69', Beesley J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
72', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
77', Ibrahim B. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Pepple A. ⚽, Mumba B. (A),
82', Lofthouse K. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
85', Tolaj L. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
85', McCabe L. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plymouth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
Szucs K.
(Injury)
Watts C.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: McKiernan J. J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: MacKenzie J.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
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Collins B. (G) 
Sibbick T. 
McKiernan J. J. 
Shade T. 
Ross M. 
Oseni O. 
Tolaj L. 
Armer J. 
Dudek K. (G) 
Tavares F. 
Galloway B. 
Pepple A. 
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