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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 42%
Draw 27.7%
Peterborough United 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
25.7%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
25.2%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Argyle's form might have worsened.
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
7.1%
7.1%
Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Plymouth (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 4. Wiredu B. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. (C) 23. Ibrahim B. 11. Mumba B. 35. Dale O. 20. McCabe L. 9. Tolaj L.
1. Bass A. (G) 12. Lees T. 15. Nevett G. 29. O'Connor T. 30. Kioso P. (C) 8. Khela B. 4. Collins A. 28. Garbett M. 40. Mendy J. 24. Morgan J. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
14. Benarous A. 39. Finn T. 22. Galloway B. . Hazard C. (G) 18. Oseni O. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C.
18. Hayes C. 2. Johnston C. 19. Lindgren G. 7. Lolos K. 26. Okagbue D. 21. Reyes V. (G) . Woods B.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Ferguson D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Mitchell A. 🟨,
23', Leonard H. (Pen),
28', Khela B. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mumba B. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
64', Dale O. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
64', Mendy J. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
64', Khela B. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
64', Morgan J. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
67', Finn T. 🟨,
71', Mitchell A. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
75', Garbett M. 🟨,
76', Sorinola M. 🟨,
77', McCabe L. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
83', Garbett M. ↓, Johnston C. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2.
Plymouth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Peterborough has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Plymouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
Edwards J.
(Red Card)
Hazard C.
(Knee Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Injury)
Paterson J.
(Calf Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Wallin O.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Lees T.
(Injury)
Mendy J.
(Injury)
Odoh A.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
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Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 
Ross M. 
Tolaj L. 
Nevett G. 
O'Connor T. 
Kioso P. (C) 
Garbett M. 
Mendy J. 
Galloway B. 
Hazard C. (G) 
Pepple A. 
Lindgren G. 
Lolos K. 
Reyes V. (G) 
Ferguson D. 
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