The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 27.9%
Draw 29.1%
Lincoln City 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
28.5%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
28.7%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Burton Albion - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Lincoln (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Dudek K. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 6. Sibbick T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 23. Revan S. 12. Evans G. 10. Shade T. 9. Beesley J.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 5. Jackson A. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 19. Okoronkwo F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Collins J.
Substitutes
21. Amissah J. (G) 3. Armer J. 26. Delap F. 22. Larsson J. 20. Sraha J. 11. Tavares F. 19. Williams D.
34. Draper F. 22. Hamer T. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 36. Obikwu J. 12. Ring E. 11. Thorn O. 24. Varfolomeev I.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽, Bayliss T. (A),
36', McGrandles C. 🟨,
45', Jackson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
72', Evans G. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
77', House B. 🟨,
78', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
78', Collins J. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
78', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
79', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
86', Beesley J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
87', Hartridge A. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
90+5', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
Recent performances by Burton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
Street R.
(Red Card)
Towler R.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Burton: Sraha J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.19%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Dudek K. (G) 
Godwin-Malife U. (C) 
Sibbick T. 
Chauke K. 
Shade T. 
Darikwa T. (C) 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Collins J. 
Amissah J. (G) 
Larsson J. 
Tavares F. 
Obikwu J. 
Varfolomeev I. 
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