The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 29.6%
Draw 29%
Port Vale 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
28.7%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
29.3%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
Burton Albion - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Port Vale will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 58.6% – 97%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Amissah J. (G) 26. Delap F. 18. Moon J. 6. Sibbick T. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 7. McKiernan J. J. 11. Tavares F. 9. Beesley J. (C)
1. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 7. Byers G. (C) 14. Ojo F. 15. Gordon L. 10. Tolaj L. 11. Curtis R.
Substitutes
25. Gilligan C. 32. Isted H. (G) 22. Larsson J. 23. Revan S. 10. Shade T. 20. Sraha J. 19. Williams D.
36. Faal M. 46. Gauci J. (G) 4. Heneghan B. 24. Kyle John 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J. 19. Waine B.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Byers G. 🟥,
34', Delap F. 🟨,
43', Armer J. 🟨,
45+1', Beesley J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Delap F. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
50', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
73', Curtis R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
78', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
78', Tavares F. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
87', Gordon L. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
87', Tolaj L. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
90+8', Webster C. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
90+8', Ojo F. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
90+10', Clark M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Chauke K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Injury)
Paton R.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Port Vale - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Amissah J. (G) 
Delap F. 
Sibbick T. 
Chauke K. 
Armer J. 
McKiernan J. J. 
Tavares F. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Clark M. 
Ojo F. 
Gordon L. 
Tolaj L. 
Curtis R. 
Larsson J. 
Shade T. 
Faal M. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Waine B. 
Moore D. 
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