Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Burton Albion		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.25	3.25	3.35
	2.16	3.3	3.15
	2.21	3.48	3.46
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.25	3.38	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	3.33 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
43%

Draw
28.5%

Rochdale
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

17.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burton Albion - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Burton has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Burton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rochdale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Burton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
17.10.20	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
10.10.20	Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Burton Albion - Cambridge United	2:4 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	2:4 ✺
26.09.20	Swindon Town - Burton Albion	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Rochdale AFC
English League One
17.10.20	Rochdale - Hull City	0:3 ✺
10.10.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Rochdale - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.09.20	Ipswich Town - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.12.19	Burton Albion - Rochdale	3:1
05.01.19	Rochdale - Burton Albion	0:4
04.08.18	Burton Albion - Rochdale	1:2
30.01.16	Rochdale - Burton Albion	2:1
12.09.15	Burton Albion - Rochdale	1:0
English League Two
18.02.14	Rochdale - Burton Albion	1:1
10.08.13	Burton Albion - Rochdale	1:0

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