Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.55
				Watch
	2.78	3.33	2.63
				Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.62
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.33)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.6 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
34.9%

Draw
28.7%

Burton Albion
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 32. Hunt J. 5. Wilson J. 17. Taylor C. 3. Sousa L. 26. Butcher M. 8. Ward G. 11. Thomas L. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Sinclair S. (C) 18. Martin C.	1. Crocombe M. (G) 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. (C) 17. Armer J. 2. Godwin-Malife U. 8. Webster C. 24. McKiernan J. J. 33. Chauke K. 3. Dodgson O. 10. Bodvarsson J. 18. Burrell R.
Substitutes
28. Forde S. 19. Hutchinson I. 29. Lindsay J. 4. Moore T. 30. Reindorf M. 36. Roberts M. (G) 25. Swinkels S.	32. Bennett M. 26. Delap F. 13. Isted H. (G) 7. Kalinauskas T. 22. Larsson J. 36. Lofthouse K. 23. Tavares F.
Coaches
Calderon I.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Martin C. ⚽, Sousa L. (A),
35', Martin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', Chauke K. 🟨,
69', Thomas L. 🟨,
72', Burrell R. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
72', Bodvarsson J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
73', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
73', Dodgson O. ↓, Lofthouse K. ↑,
74', Ward G. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
74', Sinclair S. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Tavares F. ⚽, Sweeney R. (A),
84', Tavares F. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽, Martin C. (A),
90+2', Sotiriou R. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
90+2', Hunt J. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
90+2', Thomas L. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
90+5', Bennett M. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Martin C. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
11.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLLW
- Burton Albion
English League One
08.02.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Barnsley - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Burton Albion - Reading	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	4:2 ✺
21.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.10.24	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	1:3
10.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2
21.10.23	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	4:1
18.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2
06.08.22	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	0:4
02.03.21	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	1:0
17.10.20	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:1

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