Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 20

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Burton Albion		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8
	4.4	3.7	1.75
	4.33	3.75	1.78	Watch
	4.83	3.79	1.78
	4.81	3.77	1.78
	4.2	3.6	1.75
	4.5	3.78	1.74	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)	3.72 ↑ (3.53)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
21.1%

Draw
25.4%

Portsmouth
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.7%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Burton Albion - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 12. Moon J. 5. Hughes S. 6. Sweeney R. 3. Seddon S. 7. Powell J. 24. Baah K. 17. Helm M. 4. Oshilaja A. (C) 11. Bennett M. 9. Stockton C.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 8. Robertson A. 7. Pack M. (C) 25. Kamara A. 15. Saydee C. 29. Martin J. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
30. Blackman J. (G) 22. Caprice J. 21. Carayol M. 8. Harper R. 15. Lubala B. 40. Tamen W. 14. Walker J.	24. Devlin T. 23. Hume D. 32. Lane P. 31. Schofield R. (G) 14. Stevenson B. 4. Towler R. 19. Yengi K.
Coaches
Maamria D.	Mousinho J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.

Burton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Burton won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
25.11.23	Peterborough United - Burton Albion	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Burton Albion - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
25.11.23	Portsmouth - Blackpool	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Chesterfield - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Reading - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.02.23	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	1:0
13.09.22	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2
08.02.22	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	2:1
28.09.21	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	2:1
10.04.21	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	1:2
03.10.20	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	2:4
17.09.19	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	2:2

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