Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)


	Accrington Stanley		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.75
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.9	3.62	3.81
	1.85	3.55	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)	3.82 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
49.7%

Draw
26.3%

Rochdale
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Accrington Stanley - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 1.

Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Accrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Accrington is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League One
27.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	4:4 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTLW
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
27.08.22	Rochdale - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Rochdale	3:0 ✺
English League Two
20.08.22	Swindon Town - Rochdale	3:0 ✺
16.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Rochdale - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.04.21	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	3:1
10.10.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	2:1
01.01.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	1:2
12.10.19	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	2:1
09.04.19	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	0:1
24.11.18	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	1:0
Club Friendly
28.07.15	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	1:0

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