The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 62.7%
Draw 22.3%
Burton Albion 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
21.5%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.8%
20.6%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
6.2%
6.2%
Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Burton (4.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Bolton (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
1. Bonham J. (G) 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 29. Christie C. 16. Morley A. 21. Erhahon E. 25. Conway M. 22. Dempsey K. 45. McAtee J. 10. Dalby S.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 5. Vancooten T. 6. Sibbick T. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 19. Williams D. 3. Armer J. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 29. Adom K.
Substitutes
48. Burstow M. 20. Cissoko I. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 4. Simons X. 24. Temple L.
27. Dudek K. (G) 16. Hartridge A. 41. Krubally S. 22. Larsson J. 23. Revan S. 10. Shade T. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Schumacher S.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Dalby S. ⚽,
54', Christie C. 🟨,
61', Vancooten T. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
61', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
65', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
66', Dalby S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Armer J. ⚽,
71', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
71', Armer J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
75', Dempsey K. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
76', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
76', McAtee J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
80', Morley A. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
81', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
86', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bolton is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Forss M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Burton: 0.63%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Burton
10
3
3
4
14:16
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.05%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Bonham J. (G) 
Toal E. (C) 
Forino-Joseph C. 
Johnston G. 
Vancooten T. 
Sibbick T. 
Chauke K. 
Cissoko I. 
Gale T. 
Dudek K. (G) 
Larsson J. 
Shade T. 
Tavares F. 
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