Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan I Park		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	3.23	3.42	2.32
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.45	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
31.4%

Draw
27.7%

Gimcheon Sangmu
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.2%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 20. Lee Han-Do 39. Min Sang-Gi 26. Choi Ji-Mook 6. Choi Jun 81. Yeo Reum 18. Lim Min-Hyuk 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 10. Bruno Lamas 49. Park Dong-Jin	41. Kim Joon-Hong (G) 28. Kim Tae-Hyun 6. Im Seung-Kyum 34. Kim Jae-Woo 23. Park Min-Gyu 24. Yoon Jong-Gyu 32. Kim Jin-Kyu 26. Won Du-Jae 7. Choe Byeong-Chan 27. Cho Young-Wook 20. Lee Joon-Suk
Substitutes
99. Choi Geon-Joo 7. Fessin 41. Hwang Byeong-Geun (G) 14. Jung Won-Jin 9. Kim Chan 33. Kim Sang-Jun 55. Sangyoon K.	29. Jeong Chi-In 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 30. Kim Dong-Hyun 25. Kim Hyeon-Ug 38. Kim Min-Jun 40. Lee Young-Jun 14. Yoon Seok-Joo
Coaches
Park Jin-Seop	Jung-yong C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busan I Park won 1.

Busan I Park is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimcheon Sangmu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Busan I Park won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan I Park won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
26.08.23	Gimpo - Busan I Park	2:3 ✺
20.08.23	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Bucheon - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWT
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 2
26.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Chungnam Asan	4:0 ✺
20.08.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seoul E-Land	4:0 ✺
06.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	4:0 ✺
31.07.23	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
10.07.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	2:1
19.03.23	Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1
31.10.21	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	2:2
23.08.21	Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:6
05.05.21	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	1:0
21.03.21	Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
South Korean K-League 1
09.08.20	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	2:0

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