Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.55	4	4.7
	1.65	4.28	5.13
	1.57	3.6	4.75
	1.61	3.98	4.95	Watch
	1.6	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.89 ↓ (4.06)	4.76 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
57.3%

Draw
23.5%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kim Joon-Hong (G) 28. Kim Tae-Hyun 35. Lee Sang-Min 34. Kim Jae-Woo 23. Park Min-Gyu 39. Kang Hyun-Muk 14. Yoon Seok-Joo 26. Won Du-Jae 25. Kim Hyeon-Ug 27. Cho Young-Wook 20. Lee Joon-Suk	1. Choe Pil-Soo (G) 17. Lee Ji-Hun 20. Jo Sung-Wook 5. Flottmann P. 23. Jung Seung-Yong 4. Lee Sang-Min 96. Gabriel Honorio 7. Kwon Soon-Hyung 55. Park Tae-Jun 19. Jung Han-Min 93. Jin Seong-Uk
Substitutes
36. Goo Bon-Cheul 6. Im Seung-Kyum 29. Jeong Chi-In 38. Kim Min-Jun 37. Lee Jung-Min 18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 24. Yoon Jong-Gyu	9. Denilson d. S. d. S. 3. Kang Eui-Bin 6. Kim Hyun-Tae 16. Kim Jin-Rae 41. Kim Young-Kwang (G) 27. Lee Jun-Sang 15. Shin Jae-Won
Coaches
Jung-yong C.	Lee Ki-Hyung

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimcheon Sangmu won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimcheon Sangmu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimcheon Sangmu is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Gimcheon Sangmu won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimcheon Sangmu won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 2
31.07.23	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gyeongnam - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Chungnam Asan	3:2 ✺
15.07.23	Gimpo - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
10.07.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
29.07.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
19.07.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:3 ✺
09.07.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimpo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
07.05.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2
South Korean Cup
12.04.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 penalties
South Korean K-League 1
09.10.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
05.08.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:4
21.06.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
06.04.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3
South Korean Cup
26.05.21	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ET

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