Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Busan I Park		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.83
	3.4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.55	3.85	1.83
	3.8	3.7	1.83
	3.8	4.04	1.87
	3.9	3.75	1.83
	4.1	3.96	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	3.76 ↑ (3.53)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
24.6%

Draw
25.1%

Pohang Steelers
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

20.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	16.7%	62.5%

Busan I Park - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Pohang will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pohang: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to K League 1 (Championship Group)).

Busan I Park has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pohang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pohang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pohang is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Busan I Park won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan I Park won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 1
14.08.20	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
09.08.20	Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park	2:0 ✺
02.08.20	Busan I Park - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.20	Busan I Park - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:5 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.20	Daegu - Busan I Park	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.20	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.20	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	1:5 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.20	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
10.05.20	Pohang Steelers - Busan I Park	2:0
South Korean Cup
19.04.17	Busan I Park - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ET
South Korean K-League 1
04.10.15	Pohang Steelers - Busan I Park	2:0
20.06.15	Busan I Park - Pohang Steelers	1:2
05.05.15	Pohang Steelers - Busan I Park	1:2
05.10.14	Pohang Steelers - Busan I Park	0:0
20.07.14	Pohang Steelers - Busan I Park	2:0

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