Match Info

K League 1 - Round 3

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Pohang Steelers		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.58	2.88	2.78
	2.76	3.08	2.95
	2.6	3.05	2.84	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.75
	2.59	3.03	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.14)	2.97 ↓ (3.27)	2.83 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
35.6%

Draw
31.5%

Incheon United
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pohang Steelers's form might have worsened.

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Pohang Steelers - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pohang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 13. Kang Min-Jun 4. Jeon Min-kwang 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 2. Eo Jeong-Won 14. Lee Chang-Woo 16. Kim Dong-Jin 7. Kim In-Sung 31. Nishiya K. 11. da Rocha Junior J. 19. Lee Ho-Jae	1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 15. Seo Jae-Min 23. Jeong Chi-In 9. Mugosa S. 7. Oh H.
Substitutes
70. Hwang Seo-Woong 25. Jorge Teixeira 36. Kim H. 8. Kim Seung-Ho 30. Kim Yong-Hak 23. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 10. Tranziska J. 77. Wanderson	13. Choi Seung-gu 17. Kim Seong-Min 72. Lee Chung-Yong 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 19. Park Ho-Min 20. Park Kyung-sub 8. Undabarrena I. 27. Yeo Seung-Won
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Jeong Chi-In 🟨,
36', Lee Chang-Woo 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Mugosa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim In-Sung ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
46', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Jorge Teixeira ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, Jorge Teixeira (A),
61', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
64', Lee Chang-Woo ↓, Hwang Seo-Woong ↑,
73', Kim Dong-Jin ↓, Tranziska J. ↑,
82', Ibiza 🟨,
85', Gerso ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
85', Nishiya K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
89', Kang Min-Jun 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 3.

Incheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pohang is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pohang won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
28.02.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
11.12.25	Kaya - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTWL
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
07.03.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
27.09.24	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:0
23.06.24	Incheon United - Pohang Steelers	1:3
28.04.24	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	0:0
20.10.23	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:1
02.09.23	Incheon United - Pohang Steelers	0:2
25.06.23	Incheon United - Pohang Steelers	0:1
30.04.23	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	0:2

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