The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buxton 55.8%
Draw 23.6%
Alfreton Town 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
22.9%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
22.1%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
Buxton - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Greaves O. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Burton K. ⚽,
16', 3 - 0, Brennan L. ⚽,
23', 4 - 0, Sodje T. ⚽,
29', 5 - 0, McLean R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 6 - 0, Burton K. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.
Buxton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Alfreton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Buxton is a strong favorite.
We predict that Buxton will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
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