Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Cádiz		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15
	3.6	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.27
	3.69	3.37	2.17
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.52	3.44	2.13	Watch
	3.65	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.99)	3.34 ↑ (3.27)	2.16 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
27%

Draw
28.6%

Sevilla
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	10.9%	78.2%

Cádiz - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Sevilla will win (votes: 43 - 78.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 67.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 33. Lucas Pires 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 12. Kouame R. 18. Machis D. 16. Ramos C. 21. Marti R.	13. Nyland O. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. 19. Acuna M. 10. Rakitic I. (C) 24. Soumare B. 7. Suso 11. Lukebakio D. 12. Diaz M. 5. Ocampos L.
Substitutes
5. Chust V. 17. Escalante G. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 22. Mere J. 9. Negredo A. 29. Nico Njalla 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	22. Bade L. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 15. En Nesyri Y. 20. Fernando 8. Jordan J. 17. Lamela E. 9. Mir R. 16. Navas J. 14. Nianzou T. 3. Pedrosa A. 27. Salas K. 21. Torres O.
Coaches
Sergio	Alonso D.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sevilla will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Navarro R. (Red Card) San Emeterio F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Chust V. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Muscle Injury) Ocampo B. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Marcao (Injury) Nyland O. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 3-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cádiz - Girona	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Betis - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTT
- Sevilla FC
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Sevilla - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.23	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.04.23	Cádiz - Sevilla	0:2
21.01.23	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
29.04.22	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:1
03.01.22	Cádiz - Sevilla	0:1
23.01.21	Sevilla - Cádiz	3:0
27.09.20	Cádiz - Sevilla	1:3

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