Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Hungary	21:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 5
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	CMore Live, TV4
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Sevilla		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.67
	5	3.9	1.68
	5.2	4	1.68	Watch
	5.32	3.95	1.7
	5.32	3.9	1.7
	5	3.9	1.65
	5.5	4	1.75
	5	3.95	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.11)	3.95 ↑ (3.74)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
18.6%

Draw
24.4%

Arsenal
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	9%	80.2%

Sevilla - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (89 of 111 users predict this - 80.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.76% – 87.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nyland O. (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 4. Ramos S. 6. Gudelj N. 19. Acuna M. 18. Sow D. 24. Soumare B. 10. Rakitic I. 11. Lukebakio D. 15. En Nesyri Y. 5. Ocampos L.	22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 18. Tomiyasu T. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 20. Jorginho 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 9. Gabriel Jesus 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
22. Bade L. 12. Diaz M. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 8. Jordan J. 17. Lamela E. 9. Mir R. 14. Nianzou T. 3. Pedrosa A. 26. Sanchez J. 7. Suso 21. Torres O.	17. Cedric 25. Elneny M. 29. Havertz K. 31. Hein K. (G) 15. Kiwior J. 24. Nelson R. 14. Nketiah E. 1. Ramsdale A. (G) 10. Smith Rowe E. 19. Trossard L. 21. Vieira F. 35. Zinchenko O.
Coaches
Alonso D.	Arteta M.

Preview

Recent matches Sevilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

There will not play in Sevilla: Marcao (Injury) Salas K. (Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Timber J. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.23	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTLW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
21.10.23	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Lens - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
30.09.23	Bournemouth - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
27.09.23	Brentford - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Emirates Cup
30.07.22	Arsenal - Sevilla	6:0
30.07.17	Arsenal - Sevilla	1:2

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