Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Villanueva J. I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Optus Sport
Belgium	21:00	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	16:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Cyprus	22:00	PrimeTel
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	CMore, CMore MAX
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Viaplay
International	19:00	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Atlético Madrid		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.35	5	10	Watch
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.34	5.31	10.71
	1.3	5	11
	1.32	5.25	10.5	Watch
	1.35	5.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	5.13 ↓ (5.15)	9.94 ↑ (8.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
71.8%

Draw
18.6%

Cádiz
9.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	4.7%	6.2%

Atlético Madrid - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (57 of 64 users predict this - 89.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.41% – 96.71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 3. Azpilicueta C. 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 16. Molina N. 14. Llorente M. 6. Koke (C) 8. Niguez S. 25. Riquelme R. 10. Correa A. 7. Griezmann A.	1. Ledesma C. (C) 2. Zaldua J. 22. Mere J. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 12. Kouame R. 4. Alcaraz R. 33. Lucas Pires 21. Marti R. 16. Ramos C.
Substitutes
5. de Paul R. 30. El Jebari S. 17. Galan J. 2. Gimenez J. M. 26. Gismera A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 27. Kostis I. 12. Lino S.	11. Alejo I. 20. Carcelen I. 17. Escalante G. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 27. Navarro R. 9. Negredo A.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Sergio

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 4.

Atlético is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cádiz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Morata A. (Red Card) Soyuncu C. (Groin Injury) Vitolo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Chust V. (Injury) Hernandez L. (Injury) Ocampo B. (Knee Injury) San Emeterio F. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.23	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Lazio - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
28.08.23	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Betis - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
01.09.23	Cádiz - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.05.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	5:1
29.10.22	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	3:2
Club Friendly
04.08.22	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:4
Spanish LaLiga
11.03.22	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	2:1
28.11.21	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:4
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.21	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	2:4

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