Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Córdoba		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.55	3.76	6.61
	1.51	3.8	6.4
	1.51	3.65	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)	6.29 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba
60.6%

Draw
24.9%

Mérida AD
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

23.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Córdoba's performance.

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Córdoba - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marin C. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Ruiz A. 8. Gudelj D. 3. Calderon J. 23. Carracedo C. 22. Diarra Y. 7. Kike 15. Ruiz I. 10. Bouzaidi S. 20. Casas A.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 22. Bourdal T. 15. Jose Elo 3. Prada R. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Acosta L. 14. Beneit R. 10. Mukai A. 18. Padilla J. 9. Chuma
Substitutes
17. Adilson 16. Delgado C. 28. Fernandez P. 18. Garcia C. 14. Recio 2. Rodriguez I. 1. Tarres L. (G) 19. Toril A. 9. Zalazar K.	8. Ben Hamed N. 30. Borrella J. 28. Carvajal I. 32. Cupido D. 6. Gutierrez I. 21. Llacer L. 33. Martin R. 29. Prevedini M. 27. Sainz J. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 3.

Recent matches Córdoba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Córdoba is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.10.23	Algeciras - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Córdoba - Granada B	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Alcoyano - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Córdoba - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Castellón - Mérida AD	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Algeciras - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:0
17.12.22	Córdoba - Mérida AD	1:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Córdoba - Mérida AD	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.22	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1
27.11.21	Córdoba - Mérida AD	3:0
24.11.19	Córdoba - Mérida AD	1:1

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