Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Córdoba		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.61	3.4	5
	1.65	3.34	5.09
	1.7	3.46	5.35
	1.57	3.2	5
	1.68	3.48	5.13
	1.67	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	4.94 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba
54.8%

Draw
26.8%

Real Murcia
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Córdoba - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marin C. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Ruiz A. 27. Barboza M. 3. Calderon J. 23. Carracedo C. 22. Diarra Y. 9. Zalazar K. 14. Recio 17. Adilson 19. Toril A.	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Baro M. 14. Leon P. 7. Gomez I. 21. Pina Tomas 8. Larrea P. 18. Rojas C. 25. Rubio A.
Substitutes
10. Bouzaidi S. 20. Casas A. 18. Garcia C. 7. Kike 2. Rodriguez I. 6. Sala A. 1. Tarres L. (G) 26. Vazquez A.	10. Buron L. 33. Carmona M. 11. Carrillo J. 32. Coto E. 24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 15. Lopez A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 28. Totti 17. Vega D.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Córdoba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Córdoba is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Recreativo Huelva - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Córdoba - Intercity	1:0 ✺
04.01.24	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTW
- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
23.01.24	Real Murcia - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
02.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.03.21	Córdoba - Real Murcia	2:2
06.12.20	Real Murcia - Córdoba	0:1
26.01.20	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:0
07.09.19	Córdoba - Real Murcia	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
15.06.14	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:2
11.06.14	Córdoba - Real Murcia	0:0

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