Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 27 May 2024, Monday


	Sansinena		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.2	1.62
	5.5	3.3	1.63
	5.11	3.28	1.63
	5.11	3.28	1.63
	5.5	3.25	1.6
	6.07	3	1.69
	6.2	3.25	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (3.15)	3.22 ↑ (2.78)	1.63 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sansinena
16.3%

Draw
28.1%

Villa Mitre
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

33.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

32.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sansinena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sansinena's form might have worsened.

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Mitre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sansinena than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sansinena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Sansinena - Villa Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sansinena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Villa Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Gatica E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Cerica E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sansinena won 0.

Sansinena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villa Mitre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sansinena won 0 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Sansinena won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Sansinena
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.05.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sansinena	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Sansinena - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sansinena	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sansinena - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Sol de Mayo - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTTL
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.05.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.03.24	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	3:2
29.10.23	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	4:0
27.08.23	Sansinena - Villa Mitre	2:4
28.06.23	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	0:0
07.05.23	Sansinena - Villa Mitre	0:2
16.07.22	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	3:0
03.04.22	Sansinena - Villa Mitre	1:2

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