Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	CD Extremadura		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.05	3.95
	1.96	3.13	3.99
	1.85	3.14	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.62)	4.09 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
48.2%

Draw
29.4%

Xerez Deportivo
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Extremadura's form might have worsened.

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Extremadura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

CD Extremadura - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Dieste C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Callejon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Dieste C. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Zarfino G. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Dieguito ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Extremadura is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Antoniano - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	CD Extremadura - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWW
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLT

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