Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	Persiana Sports
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kuwait	Shasha
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	CD Guadalajara		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	29	15	1.03	Watch
	36	15	1.04
	23.48	15.67	1.04
	28.15	12.24	1.06	Watch
	26	13	1.06	Watch
	28	13.5	1.08
	31	11	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	28.8 ↑ (17)	13.63 ↑ (7.8)	1.05 ↓ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
3.3%

Draw
6.9%

Barcelona
89.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.4%

11.8%

82.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

CD Guadalajara - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Barcelona will win (votes: 17 - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 69.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Guadalajara (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Guadalajara (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Barcelona (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Barcelona (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Barcelona (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barcelona (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Barcelona (votes: 16 - 84.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 16. Cera 4. Ablanque J. (C) 23. Casado J. 18. Martinez J. 21. Ramirez M. 6. Rojo P. 22. Samuel 3. Moreno A. 9. Canizo A. 20. Diaz B.	1. ter Stegen M. (G) 17. Casado M. 24. Garcia E. 15. Christensen A. 26. Torrents J. 22. Bernal M. 21. de Jong F. 10. Lamine Yamal 16. Fermín 28. Bardghji R. 14. Rashford M.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 10. Amigo D. 8. Calvo T. 24. Caropitche S. M. 5. Gallardo D. 17. Gil A. 19. Munoz P. 7. Neskes 15. Rodriguez V. 14. Tavares R. 1. Zarco A. (G)	3. Balde A. 5. Cubarsi P. 27. Fernandez D. 13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 43. Marques T. 18. Martin G. 8. Pedri 11. Raphinha 25. Szczesny W. (G) 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Marti P.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Bernal M. 🟨,
32', Ramirez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bernal M. ↓, Cubarsi P. ↑,
54', Samuel 🟨,
62', Ramirez M. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
62', Diaz B. ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
63', Moreno A. ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
63', Torrents J. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
71', Ablanque J. 🟨,
72', Samuel ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
75', Bardghji R. ↓, Pedri ↑,
75', Casado M. ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Christensen A. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
83', Cera ↓, Neskes ↑,
86', Christensen A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Rashford M. ⚽, Lamine Yamal (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Guadalajara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barcelona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barcelona is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTL
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Barcelona - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Betis - Barcelona	3:5 ✺
02.12.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

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