Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Pontevedra		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	5
	1.75	3.2	4.85
	1.78	3.29	5.03
	1.68	3.44	5.37	Watch
	1.76	3.08	4.85
	1.73	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)	4.98 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
52.9%

Draw
28.6%

CD Guadalajara
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sousa E. (G) 2. Eimil V. 23. Montoro A. 4. Bosch M. 11. Cuesta M. 16. Vidorreta A. 24. Rodriguez T. 14. Resende J. 10. Pino Y. (C) 17. Macias L. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.	1. Zarco A. (G) 16. Cera 4. Ablanque J. 15. Rodriguez V. 18. Martinez J. 22. Samuel 8. Calvo T. 11. Alvarez U. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 10. Amigo D.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 5. Conesa N. 29. Delgado A. 20. Denia M. 3. Exposito A. 7. Gonzalez A. 13. Marqueta R. (G) 32. Mendez I. 33. Outeirino I. 31. Rebouras E. 6. Ribeiro A.	9. Canizo A. 24. Caropitche S. M. 20. Diaz B. 27. Mayo N. 21. Ramirez M. 6. Rojo P. 29. Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Amigo D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Resende J. ⚽,
45', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
48', 🟨,
56', Bosch M. 🟨,
62', Eimil V. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
66', Neskes ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
66', Alvarez U. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
72', Calvo T. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
74', Resende J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', Macias L. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
83', Bosch M. ↓, Conesa N. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Pontevedra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guadalajara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pontevedra is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	Lugo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Pontevedra - Zamora	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	UD Ourense - Pontevedra	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Lugo	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW

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