Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.92	3.2	3.85
	1.91	3.52	4.09
	1.86	3.52	4.02	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.86	3.18	4.04
	1.81	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	3.91 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
48.9%

Draw
27.7%

Osasuna B
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 15. Rodriguez V. 4. Ablanque J. 18. Martinez J. 10. Amigo D. 22. Samuel 14. Tavares R. 8. Calvo T. 7. Neskes 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 23. Serrano M. 3. Jimenez A. 4. Espejo D. 22. Larrion A. 16. Auria M. 26. Garin X. 20. Perez B. 6. Echegoyen M. 8. Yoldi A. 9. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 9. Canizo A. 16. Cera 20. Diaz B. 3. Moreno A. 19. Munoz P. 21. Ramirez M. 6. Rojo P. 13. Vicente D. (G)	30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 17. Arroyo R. 18. Bonel A. 35. Kall A. 7. Lumbreras C. 13. Rafa (G) 5. Santos U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Amigo D. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jimenez A. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
57', 🟨,
60', Garin X. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
60', Perez B. ↓, Arrasate I. ↑,
60', Neskes ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', Serrano M. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
73', Larrion A. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
73', Calvo T. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
73', Samuel ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
81', Zarco A. 🟥,
85', Amigo D. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLLT
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cacereño - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLT

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