Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	CD Guadalajara		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.58	4.05
	1.81	3.58	4.06
	1.76	3.49	4.44
	1.8	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.44)	3.51 ↑ (3.18)	4 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
51.1%

Draw
26%

Villanovense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanovense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanovense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Guadalajara - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Moreno I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLW
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Villanovense - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Villanovense - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Getafe B - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0
12.03.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0
23.10.22	CD Guadalajara - Villanovense	0:2

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