Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Sporting de Gijón		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.1
	2.4	2.85	3.3
	2.44	2.95	3.32	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.2
	2.43	3.04	3.22	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.23)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	3.23 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
38.9%

Draw
32.1%

Elche
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Sporting de Gijón - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 4. Pier R. 22. Sanchez D. 3. Cote 18. Gelabert Pina C. 14. Olaetxea L. 10. Mendez N. 17. Dubasin J. 19. Otero J. 9. Queipo D.	13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 16. Alex Martin 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan 21. Castro N. 14. Febas A. 24. Santiago Y. 19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R.
Substitutes
16. Caicedo J. 11. Campuzano V. 5. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 6. Martin N. 28. Mbemba P. 27. Oyon A. 20. Vazquez K.	9. Alvarez A. 6. Bigas P. 4. Diaby B. 5. Donald J. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 41. Niculaesei A. 36. Nunez R. 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Albes R.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Rosas G. ⚽, Dubasin J. (A),
41', Rosas G. 🟨,
44', Queipo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Guti R. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
66', Josan ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
67', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
70', Queipo D. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
77', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
77', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
81', Febas A. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
81', Castro N. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),
90+1', Cote ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
90+5', Rashani E. 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 3.

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elche is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Elche have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Elche: Plano O. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Sporting de Gijón - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:3 ✺
18.12.24	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL
- Elche CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.25	Elche - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.24	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
20.04.24	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
04.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	2:0
14.01.20	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:0
19.10.19	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	0:1
28.04.19	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:1
09.12.18	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	0:0

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