Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eldense		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.38	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.2	3	2.35	Watch
	3.46	2.98	2.44
	3.4	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.35	3.13	2.32	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
28.6%

Draw
31.2%

Elche
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.9%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

30.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Eldense - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Elche will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 3. Martos I. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 21. Bernal A. 20. Chapela I. 9. Quintana Nacho 11. Ortuno J.	13. Dituro M. (G) 16. Alex Martin 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan 14. Febas A. 8. Guti R. 24. Santiago Y. 10. Mercau N. 18. Kaba S.
Substitutes
6. Camarasa V. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 22. Grigore R. 33. Iniesta Soriano A. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 1. Martin D. (G) 10. Montes C. 18. Ropero U. 16. Youness	9. Alvarez A. 21. Castro N. 23. Clerc C. 4. Diaby B. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Ponz D.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Garcia V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
58', Salinas J. 🟨,
62', Febas A. 🟨,
65', Guti R. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
65', Mercau N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
71', Bernal A. ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
71', Ortuno J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
72', Kaba S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
81', Chapela I. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
81', Quintana Nacho ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
81', Josan ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
81', Alex Martin ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
86', Ropero U. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Eldense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elche will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eldense: Dumic D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Diaby B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Bouzaidi S. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Cádiz - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Mirandés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
20.11.24	Eldense - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Elche - Eldense	1:2
15.10.23	Eldense - Elche	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Elche - Eldense	2:0

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