The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 34.3%
Draw 26.1%
New York Red Bulls 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
25.5%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
25.2%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
27.3%
72.7%
CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 6. Piette S. (C) 8. Longstaff M. 23. Streit N. 9. Owusu P. 10. Ivan Jaime
34. Horvath E. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 12. Nealis D. 6. Voloder R. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
Substitutes
1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 39. Guboglo A. 21. Herbers F. 24. Morales E. 7. Opoku M. 14. Rios D. 17. Thorhallsson D.
39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 20. Mina J. 79. Mosquera R. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Bradley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ⚽, Owusu P. (A),
34', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Marshall-Rutty J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
46', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
46', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Longstaff M. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Streit N. (A2)
53', 3 - 1, Longstaff M. (Own goal),
58', Streit N. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
65', Mehmeti A. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
71', Vera B. 🟨,
75', Gillier T. 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Opoku M. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Ivan Jaime (A2)
78', Ivan Jaime ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
78', Piette S. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
80', Forsberg E. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
83', Donkor R. 🟨,
84', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
89', Longstaff M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY Red Bulls's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Hidalgo B.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim S.
(Back Injury)
Nteziryayo J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Streit N.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
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Gillier T. (G) 
Bugaj D. 
Neal J. 
Vera B. 
Petrasso L. 
Longstaff M. 
Streit N. 
Owusu P. 
Ivan Jaime 
Voloder R. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Escobar O. 
Guboglo A. 
Morales E. 
Thorhallsson D. 
Benedetti N. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Mosquera R. 
Eullaffroy P. 
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