Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	CF Montréal		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.8	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.95	3.35	Watch
	2.11	3.97	3.34
	2.04	3.9	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.25
	2.05	3.97	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	3.87 ↓ (3.94)	3.31 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
46.7%

Draw
24.5%

Orlando City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CF Montréal's form might have worsened.

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CF Montréal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

CF Montréal - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Orlando City (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Orlando City (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 5. Craig B. 24. Morales E. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 6. Piette S. 8. Longstaff M. 16. Carmona W. 9. Owusu P. 10. Ivan Jaime	71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 57. Iago Teodoro 6. Jansson R. 3. Gomez A. 77. Angulo I. 8. Ojeda B. 20. Atuesta E. 14. Spicer T. 10. Ojeda M. 22. Ellis J.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 3. Aviles T. 1. Breza S. (G) 29. Escobar O. 39. Guboglo A. 7. Opoku M. 14. Rios D. 23. Streit N. 17. Thorhallsson D.	4. Brekalo D. 16. Cartagena W. 5. Luis Otavio 13. McGuire D. 12. Otero J. (G) 29. Reid-Brown T. 23. Sarajian H. 19. Taifi Z. 11. Tiago
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.	Perelman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Atuesta E. 🟨,
67', Spicer T. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
80', Ivan Jaime ↓, Streit N. ↑,
81', Ellis J. ↓, Brekalo D. ↑,
86', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
86', Piette S. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Rios D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', Carmona W. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
90+5', Gomez A. ↓, Tiago ↑,
90+5', Dorsey G. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
90+6', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Thorhallsson D. ⚽, Loturi V. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Aviles T. (Hamstring Injury) Hidalgo B. (Inactive) Ibrahim S. (Back Injury) Synchuk G. (Injury) Vera B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Knee Injury) Pasalic M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Miller N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Orlando City - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 24.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
02.05.26	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	New England Revolution - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Orlando City
MLS
02.05.26	Inter Miami - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	DC United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orlando City - Charlotte	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando City - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.03.26	Orlando City - CF Montréal	2:1
12.07.25	Orlando City - CF Montréal	1:1
19.04.25	CF Montréal - Orlando City	0:0
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.24	Orlando City - CF Montréal	4:1
MLS
20.04.24	CF Montréal - Orlando City	2:2
24.02.24	Orlando City - CF Montréal	0:0
30.09.23	Orlando City - CF Montréal	3:0

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