Match Info

MLS

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Atlanta United		CF Montréal

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.4
	2.12	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.68	3.54
	2.14	3.55	3.31	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.14	3.77	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
45.2%

Draw
26.5%

CF Montréal
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Atlanta United - CF Montréal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 18. Amador P. 88. Galarza M. 8. Muyumba T. 48. Sanchez C. 59. Miranchuk Al. (C) 9. Latte Lath E. 11. Lobjanidze S.	31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Morales E. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 16. Carmona W. 6. Piette S. (C) 8. Longstaff M. 29. Escobar O. 9. Owusu P. 10. Ivan Jaime
Substitutes
3. Baez E. 6. Berrocal J. 20. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 35. Fortune A. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 22. Picault F. 28. Reilly W. 30. Togashi C.	1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 21. Herbers F. 22. Loturi V. 2. Neal J. 7. Opoku M. 14. Rios D. 23. Streit N. 17. Thorhallsson D.
Coaches
Martino G.	Eullaffroy P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Latte Lath E. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Longstaff M. ⚽, Owusu P. (A),
20', Piette S. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Lobjanidze S. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
45', Owusu P. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Lobjanidze S. ⚽, Sanchez C. (A),
59', Carmona W. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
59', Escobar O. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
59', Piette S. ↓, Loturi V. ↑,
64', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
64', Latte Lath E. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
68', Ivan Jaime ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
71', Gregersen S. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
71', Galarza M. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
74', Longstaff M. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
76', Picault F. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
78', Hoyos L. 🟨,
90+2', Vera B. 🟥,
90+2', Mihaj E. 🟨,
90+6', Jacob T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlanta could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Almiron M. (Knee Injury) Alzate S. (Knee Injury) Sergio Santos (Illness)

There will not play in Montreal: Hidalgo B. (Inactive) Ibrahim S. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Montreal: Carmona W. (Injury) Synchuk G. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
US Open Cup
28.04.26	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Chattanooga - Atlanta United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLLW
- CF Montréal
MLS
25.04.26	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	New England Revolution - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cincinnati - CF Montréal	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
09.08.25	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:1
22.02.25	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	3:2
22.10.24	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	2:3 penalties
02.10.24	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	1:2
13.07.24	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:0
23.09.23	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	4:1
08.07.23	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	0:1

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