Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 4, TSN 5
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	CF Montréal		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3	Watch
	2.35	3.60	2.70
	2.28	3.7	2.98
	2.32	3.58	3.14
	2.35	3.73	2.79	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.8
	2.28	3.72	3.1	Watch
	2.24	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.98)	3.64 ↓ (3.91)	2.93 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
41.5%

Draw
26.1%

Toronto FC
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CF Montréal's form might have worsened.

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	26.3%	21.1%

CF Montréal - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Toronto (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Montreal (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 8. Longstaff M. 6. Piette S. (C) 22. Loturi V. 23. Streit N. 14. Rios D. 18. Synchuk G.	1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 38. Gilman J. 25. Zimmerman W. 12. Monlouis Z. 19. Franklin K. 7. Corbeanu T. 14. Coello A. 20. Salloi D. 9. Sargent J. 11. Etienne D.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 35. Graham-Roache O. 21. Herbers F. 24. Morales E. 7. Pereira D. 17. Thorhallsson D.	17. Aristizabal E. 96. Chukwu R. 44. Edwards R. 78. Henry M. 29. Kerr D. 13. Kuscevic B. 10. Mihailovic D. 99. Vilsaint J. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Loturi V. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
60', Piette S. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
61', Franklin K. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
62', Corbeanu T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
64', Pereira D. 🟨,
69', Salloi D. 🟨,
74', Etienne D. ↓, Mihailovic D. ↑,
77', Rios D. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
88', Streit N. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.

Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Owusu P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Toronto: Osorio J. (Yellow Cards) Stefanovic L. (Foot Injury) Wingo H. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Montreal: Carmona W. (Knee Injury) Hidalgo B. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Groin Injury) Matheus Pereira (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).

Outrights of MLS for now

Toronto FC: 0.69% CF Montreal: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
Canadian Championship
12.07.26	CF Montréal - Vancouver FC	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Vancouver FC - CF Montréal	1:2 ✺
MLS
23.05.26	DC United - CF Montréal	4:4 ✺
16.05.26	CF Montréal - Chicago Fire	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTLT
- Toronto FC
MLS
23.05.26	Chicago Fire - Toronto FC	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Charlotte - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Toronto FC - Inter Miami	2:4 ✺
Canadian Championship
05.05.26	Toronto FC - Atlético Ottawa	1:3 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	Toronto FC - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1
17.05.25	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	1:6
Canadian Championship
30.04.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:3 penalties
MLS
20.07.24	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	0:1
18.05.24	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	5:1
20.08.23	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:3
13.05.23	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	2:0

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