The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 40.1%
Draw 27.5%
Minnesota United 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
25.9%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
25.6%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CF Montréal's form might have worsened.
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CF Montréal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
5.3%
10.5%
CF Montréal - Minnesota United Predictions
Users Predictions:
CF Montréal will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 25. Corbo G. 24. Campbell G. 4. Camacho R. 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 2. Wanyama V. 19. Saliba N. 21. Lappalainen L. 29. Choiniere M. 14. Sunusi I. 13. Toye M.
97. St.Clair D. (G) 3. Valentin Z. 15. Boxall M. 4. Tapias M. 27. Taylor D. 31. Dotson H. 20. Trapp W. 21. Hlongwane B. 7. Fragapane F. 8. Rosales J. 28. Garcia M.
Substitutes
10. Duke B. 22. Herrera A. 11. Lassiter A. 8. Miljevic M. 9. Offor C. 41. Pantemis J. (G) 27. Rea S. 26. Thorkelsson R. O. 16. Waterman J.
33. Arriaga K. 13. Dick E. (G) 23. Dunbar C. 1. Irwin C. (G) 42. Iwe E. 14. Kallman B. 22. Padelford D. 10. Reynoso E.
Coaches
Losada H.
Heath A.
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Montreal has the most likely position - 12 (10.94%), project points - 43, currently - 19, a chance of playoffs (43%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Minnesota has the most likely position - 6 (9.61%), project points - 45, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (71%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality38, small importance23, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Minnesota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Montreal: Piette S.
(Injury)
Quioto R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Minnesota: Dibassy B.
(Muscle Injury)
Jiba R.
(Injury)
Lod R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Minnesota: Lawrence K.
(Injury)
Marques M.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Montreal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Watch
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Sirois J. (G) 
Corbo G. 
Campbell G. 
Camacho R. 
Wanyama V. 
Lappalainen L. 
Sunusi I. 
Valentin Z. 
Boxall M. 
Tapias M. 
Hlongwane B. 
Fragapane F. 
Rosales J. 
Garcia M. 
Herrera A. 
Lassiter A. 
Thorkelsson R. O. 
Heath A. 
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