Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Allianz Field (Minnesota)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)


	Minnesota United		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.7
	1.88	3.75	3.8
	1.99	3.79	3.8
	1.83	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.72	3.78	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)	3.62 ↑ (3.39)	3.71 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
48.8%

Draw
26%

Toronto FC
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Minnesota United - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 27. Taylor D. 15. Boxall M. 4. Tapias M. 3. Valentin Z. 31. Dotson H. 20. Trapp W. 11. Jeong S. 7. Fragapane F. 8. Rosales J. 21. Hlongwane B.	1. Johnson S. (G) 22. Laryea R. 2. Hedges M. 6. Mabika A. 19. Franklin K. 47. Thompson K. 14. Kaye M. 7. Marshall-Rutty J. 10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Sapong C. 24. Insigne L. (C)
Substitutes
33. Arriaga K. 13. Dick E. (G) 23. Dunbar C. 28. Garcia M. 1. Irwin C. (G) 14. Kallman B. 22. Padelford D. 10. Reynoso E.	20. Akinola A. 81. Antonoglou T. 29. Kerr D. 83. Mbongue H. 77. Perruzza J. 28. Petretta R. 30. Romero T. (G) 17. Rosted S. 23. Servania B.
Coaches
Heath A.	Bradley B.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Minnesota has the most likely position - 6 (10.56%), project points - 46, currently - 19, a good chance of playoffs (75%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

Toronto has the most likely position - 15 (18.43%), project points - 39, currently - 17, a chance of playoffs (21%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 20, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Toronto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Minnesota is a favorite.

There will not play in Minnesota: Dibassy B. (Injury) Jiba R. (Injury) Lod R. (Injury) Reynoso E. (Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Bradley M. (Muscle Injury) Coello A. (Injury) Diomande A. (Injury) O'Neill S. (Injury) Osorio J. (Injury) Vazquez V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Marques M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
31.05.23	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
23.05.23	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	4:0 ✺
MLS
20.05.23	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
17.05.23	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWW
- Toronto FC
MLS
31.05.23	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Toronto FC - DC United	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Austin FC - Toronto FC	1:0 ✺
17.05.23	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
19.04.19	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	4:3
04.07.18	Minnesota United - Toronto FC	4:3
13.05.17	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	3:2

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