Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	CF Montréal		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	3.25	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.26	3.9	2.14
	3.26	3.9	2.12
	3	3.75	2.1
	3.14	3.84	2.11	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
30.1%

Draw
25.4%

Real Salt Lake
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

CF Montréal - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 24. Campbell G. 16. Waterman J. 4. Alvarez F. 22. Ruan 19. Saliba N. 2. Wanyama V. 3. Sosa J. 8. Yankov D. 10. Duke B. 14. Sunusi I.	18. MacMath Z. (G) 2. Brody A. 19. Hidalgo B. 4. Vera B. 98. Katranis A. 14. Eneli E. 6. Ojeda B. 11. Gomez C. A. 9. Arango C. 8. Luna D. 29. Julio Santos A. A.
Substitutes
38. Biello A. 1. Breza S. (G) 9. Coccaro M. 25. Corbo G. 27. Doody G. 5. Iliadis I. 21. Lappalainen L. 7. Opoku K. 13. Toye M.	17. Barajas F. 35. Beavers G. (G) 16. Chang M. 27. Jacquesson B. 3. Oviedo B. 13. Palacio N. 26. Quinton P. 33. Silva D.
Coaches
Courtois L.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Yankov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Campbell G. 🟨,
50', Saliba N. 🟨,
61', Sunusi I. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
61', Yankov D. ↓, Toye M. ↑,
63', Coccaro M. 🟨,
72', Luna D. 🟨,
73', Wanyama V. ↓, Corbo G. ↑,
73', Duke B. ↓, Opoku K. ↑,
73', Ruan ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
74', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
74', Sosa J. 🟨,
83', Luna D. ↓, Chang M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 2.

Recent matches Montreal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salt Lake is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salt Lake will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Coccaro M. (Injury) Jabang O. (Injury) Lappalainen L. (Injury) Lassiter A. (Red Card) Martinez J. (Injury) Opoku K. (Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bonilla J. (Injury) Holt E. (Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury) Silva M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Montreal won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
01.06.24	Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal	2:2 ✺
29.05.24	CF Montréal - DC United	4:2 ✺
25.05.24	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Canadian Championship
22.05.24	CF Montréal - Forge	1:2 ✺
MLS
18.05.24	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLL
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
01.06.24	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	5:1 ✺
29.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake	3:3 ✺
18.05.24	Real Salt Lake - Colorado Rapids	5:3 ✺
15.05.24	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.05.22	CF Montréal - Real Salt Lake	1:2
29.05.19	CF Montréal - Real Salt Lake	2:1
11.08.18	Real Salt Lake - CF Montréal	1:1
19.08.17	CF Montréal - Real Salt Lake	3:1
09.07.16	Real Salt Lake - CF Montréal	1:1
16.05.15	CF Montréal - Real Salt Lake	4:1
24.07.14	Real Salt Lake - CF Montréal	3:1

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