The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 54.4%
Draw 24.8%
Sporting Kansas City 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
25.2%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
25.6%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.9%
6.9%
17.2%
CF Montréal - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Kansas City will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 60.3% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
Montreal has the most likely position - 3 (16.11%), has project points - 53, has currently - 29, has a good chance of playoffs (85%), has a small chance of first-round bye (11%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (3%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (43.33%), has project points - 34, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality36, small importance10, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Montreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Montreal is a favorite.
There will not play in Montreal: Giraldo T.
(Injury)
Johnsen B.
(Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Cisneros O.
(Injury)
Ford K.
(Injury)
Kinda G.
(Injury)
Pulido A.
(Injury)
Vujnovic N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Zusi G.
(Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Montreal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
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