Match Info

MLS

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	CF Montréal		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.55
	2.98	3.55	2.32	Watch
	3.08	3.6	2.35
	2.94	3.53	2.27	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	3.07	3.58	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.54)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	2.39 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
33.6%

Draw
26.7%

Austin FC
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

CF Montréal - Austin FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Austin (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Austin (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 4. Alvarez F. 24. Morales E. 13. Petrasso L. 8. Longstaff M. 22. Loturi V. 25. Sealy D. 29. Escobar O. 18. Synchuk G. 9. Owusu P.	1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Bukari O. 14. Sabovic B. 6. Sanchez I. 33. Wolff O. 21. Rubio D. 10. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 10. Duke B. 35. Graham-Roache O. 39. Guboglo Y. 14. Ibrahim S. 3. Pearce T. 40. Sirois J. (G)	18. Cascante J. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 17. Gallagher J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 16. Taylor R.
Coaches
Donadel M.	Estevez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Synchuk G. ⚽, Escobar O. (A),
31', Bugaj D. 🟨,
31', Wolff O. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Desler M. (A), Rubio D. (A2)
45+3', 2 - 1, Sealy D. ⚽, Bugaj D. (A), Owusu P. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
61', Synchuk G. 🟨,
62', Sabovic B. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
63', Alvarez F. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
63', Escobar O. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
66', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
69', Synchuk G. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
76', Desler M. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Wolff O. ⚽,
78', Gillier T. 🟨,
78', Loturi V. 🟨,
81', Owusu P. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
81', Bugaj D. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
83', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
90+4', Duke B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent form of Montreal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Austin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)

There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Montreal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
16.08.25	CF Montréal - DC United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	CF Montréal - Puebla	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Toluca - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	CF Montréal - Club León	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLT
- Austin FC
MLS
16.08.25	Austin FC - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	DC United - Austin FC	2:4 ✺
16.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Austin FC - New England Revolution	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.03.23	Austin FC - CF Montréal	1:0
18.06.22	CF Montréal - Austin FC	0:1

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