Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	CRB Maceio		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3
	2.45	3	3
	2.56	3.01	3.16
	2.56	2.87	3.07	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.54	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.36)	2.94 ↓ (3.12)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
37.7%

Draw
31.8%

Ceará
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

CRB Maceio - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 4. Saimon 26. Gustavo Henrique 13. Willian Formiga 5. Lucas Maceio 98. Falcao 8. Gege 75. Kleiton 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 10. Rafael Bilu	1. Richard (G) 6. Ramos R. 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 8. De Lucca 26. Richardson 10. Lucas Mugni 11. Aylon 73. Saulo Mineiro 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
14. Chay 34. Darlisson 23. Fabio (G) 99. Getulio 35. Joao Neto 30. Labandeira F. 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 17. Romulo 66. Ryan Carlos 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 37. Wanderson	98. Andrey 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 7. Castro F. 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 3. Joao Pedro 77. Lucas Rian 2. Rai Ramos 28. Recalde J. 70. Talisson 96. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Aylon ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Maceio ↓, Chay ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Erick Pulga ⚽,
60', Willian Formiga ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
60', Gege ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
62', Gege 🟨,
68', Falcao ↓, Romulo ↑,
68', Rafael Bilu ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
75', De Lucca ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
75', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
80', Erick Pulga ↓, Talisson ↑,
86', Richardson ↓, Andrey ↑,
86', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Recalde J. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 4.

CRB has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in CRB: Vitinho (Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Matheus Felipe (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ceará: Barcelo F. (Injury) Gabriel Lacerda (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches CRB won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-24.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.24	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.24	Atlético Mineiro - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.08.24	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.07.24	CRB Maceio - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Goiás - Ceará	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Ceará - Guarani	3:1 ✺
28.07.24	América Mineiro - Ceará	2:2 ✺
25.07.24	Ceará - Botafogo SP	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	2:2
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	2:0
10.06.23	Ceará - CRB Maceio	1:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1
24.03.22	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 penalties

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