Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 16

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	CRB Maceio		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.28	2.92	3.3
	2.44	3.05	3.32
				Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.5
	2.46	2.88	3.26	Watch
	2.27	2.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.58)	2.91 ↑ (2.84)	3.36 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
40.2%

Draw
32.1%

Coritiba
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

33.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

33.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

CRB Maceio - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 42. Weverton 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 22. Higor Meritao 8. Gege 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 9. Breno Herculano 93. Willian Pottker	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 16. Joao Almeida 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 25. Clayson 49. Dellatorre 77. Iury Castilho
Substitutes
3. Anderson Jesus 97. Dada Belmonte 99. Daniel Lima 11. Giovanni 60. Hayner 77. Leo Campos 5. Lucas Kallyel 18. Rafinha 21. Ribeiro C. 4. Segovia L. 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 15. Guilherme Aquino 9. Gustavo Coutinho 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 97. Ruan Assis 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Zeca 🟨,
12', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
36', Gege 🟨,
45+1', Wallisson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Thiaguinho ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
62', Gege ↓, Ribeiro C. ↑,
64', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
65', Clayson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
67', Gomez S. 🟨,
69', Wallisson ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
69', Iury Castilho ↓, Everaldo ↑,
70', Fabio Alemao ↓, Segovia L. ↑,
75', Maicon 🟨,
80', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
81', Danielzinho 🟨,
82', Danielzinho ↓, Giovanni ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Gustavo Coutinho (Pen),
90+3', Matheus Albino 🟨,
90+3', Nicolas Careca 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2.

CRB is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coritiba is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CRB is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in CRB: Douglas Baggio (Inactive)

There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Inactive) Bruno Melo (Yellow Cards) Filipe Machado (Yellow Cards) Lucas Ronier (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in CRB: Danielzinho (Inactive) David da Hora (Inactive)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, CRB won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Ferroviária - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	CRB Maceio - Goiás	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
04.07.25	Coritiba - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Coritiba - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.10.24	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	2:1
13.07.24	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	2:1
26.10.21	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	1:1
22.07.21	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	1:1
21.09.19	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	0:2
20.05.19	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	1:0
21.09.18	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	1:1

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