Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 20

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Chapecoense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.2	4
	2.08	3.34	3.85
	1.39	4.42	8.00	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.33
	1.92	3.24	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.41)	3.39 ↑ (3.01)	4.57 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
50.9%

Draw
28.2%

CRB Maceio
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chapecoense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - CRB (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chapecoense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 4 - 80%). CRB (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leo Vieira (G) 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 22. Mailton 4. Joao Paulo 3. Eduardo Doma 99. Rafael Carvalheira 16. Bruno Matias 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto 18. Neto Pessoa 7. Marcinho	12. Matheus Albino (G) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 44. Henri 4. Segovia L. (C) 77. Leo Campos 21. Ribeiro C. 22. Higor Meritao 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 7. Douglas Baggio
Substitutes
14. Bressan 76. Felipe Vieira 2. Gabriel Inocencio 77. Italo 5. Jorge Jimenez 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano	9. Breno Herculano 97. Dada Belmonte 34. Darlisson 27. Fabio Alemao 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 8. Gege 11. Giovanni 5. Lucas Kallyel 6. Mateus Pureza 18. Rafinha 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 93. Willian Pottker
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Marcinho (A),
15', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
25', Marcinho 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
37', 3 - 0, Mailton ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
39', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Dada Belmonte ↑,
46', Danielzinho ↓, Giovanni ↑,
46', Mikael ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
46', Douglas Baggio ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
49', Mailton 🟨,
59', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Breno Herculano ⚽, Willian Pottker (A),
70', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
70', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Henri ⚽, Giovanni (A),
80', Ribeiro C. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
84', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
84', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.

Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CRB's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chapecoense is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Inactive)

There will not play in CRB: Weverton (Injury)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Inactive) Getulio (Injury)

There are questionable in CRB: David da Hora (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
23.07.25	Chapecoense - Volta Redonda	4:2 ✺
20.07.25	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Chapecoense - Remo	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TWWTW
- CRB Maceio
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.25	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:0 ✺
22.07.25	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.04.25	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	1:0
25.08.24	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	0:0
10.05.24	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	2:0
07.11.23	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	3:2
09.07.23	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	2:1
04.10.22	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	2:1
21.06.22	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	1:2

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