Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet


	CRB Maceio		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.75
	2	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2	3.37	4.29
	1.97	3.31	3.94	Watch
	1.95	3.3	4.05
	1.95	3.2	3.94	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.96 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
47.6%

Draw
28.8%

Cuiabá
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CRB Maceio - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 32. Hereda 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael	1. Joao Carlos (G) 91. Luis Soares 5. Calebe Costa 4. Vitor Mendes 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 20. David Miguel 36. Lorenzo 41. Kauan Cristtyan 77. Jean Dias 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 18. Geovane 44. Henri 9. Joao Neto 36. Lucas Lovat 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 12. Matheus Albino (G) 20. Vinicius Barata 95. Ygor Catatau	12. Busatto G. (G) 11. Eliel 14. Eric Melo 26. Joao Silva 97. Luiz Otavio 96. Pedro H. 7. Ramon 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto 70. Wesley Dias 53. Weverson
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Danielzinho ⚽, Hereda (A),
29', Calebe Costa 🟨,
32', Vitor Mendes 🟨,
34', Hereda 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jean Dias ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
46', David Miguel ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Crystopher Ribeiro ⚽, Mikael (A),
60', Igor Inocencio 🟨,
62', Igor Inocencio ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
63', Kauan Cristtyan ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
66', Lorenzo 🟨,
68', Luis Soares 🟨,
71', Thiaguinho ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
71', Danielzinho ↓, Geovane ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Geovane ⚽, Crystopher Ribeiro (A),
80', Fabio Gomes ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
81', Dada Belmonte ↓, Ygor Catatau ↑,
81', Reverson ↓, Lucas Lovat ↑,
88', Mikael ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

In recent outings, CRB has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cuiabá shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

CRB is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for CRB: De Lucca (Muscle Injury) Kevin (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cuiabá: Marcelo Carne (Injury) Pepe (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for CRB: Leo Campos (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Cuiabá: Marcos Junior (Inactive).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, CRB has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for CRB against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.71%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Cuiabá - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.26	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.26	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0
08.09.25	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	1:0
06.05.25	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	1:1
29.01.21	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	4:1
31.10.20	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	3:0
05.11.19	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	5:1
03.08.19	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	0:1

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