Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 6

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	CRB Maceio		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	6.25
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.53	3.75	5.6
	1.5	3.98	5.91	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.78	6.3	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	5.59 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
58.9%

Draw
24.6%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

CRB Maceio - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 10. Danielzinho 11. David 8. Gege 44. Henri 22. Higor Meritao 38. Leo Pereira 2. Matheus Ribeiro 30. Miranda 6. Willian Bahia	1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 11. Allanzinho 99. Ciel (C) 8. Gharib 3. Jeffao 20. Kaue Leonardo 13. Lucas Ramires 2. Rikelmy 17. Rivas K. 23. Rosa B. 19. Wesley Junio
Substitutes
50. Baranhas 99. Daniel Lima 34. Darlisson 60. Hayner 5. Lucas Kallyel 70. Nathan Melo 18. Rafinha 17. Thiaguinho 20. Vinicius Barata 77. Vitinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	6. Carlos Junio 21. Gustavo Barbosa 29. Henrique (G) 4. Iago Reis 18. Janeudo 5. Joao Vitor 16. Pablo Alves 9. Samuel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
41', Ciel 🟨,
43', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
45', Gege 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Leo Pereira ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
50', Matheus Albino 🟥,
52', Gege ↓, Vitor Caetano ↑,
53', Matheus Ribeiro ↓, Hayner ↑,
62', Hayner 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
68', Rosa B. ↓, Janeudo ↑,
68', Rivas K. ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
71', Higor Meritao ↓, Lucas Kallyel ↑,
72', David ↓, Rafinha ↑,
75', Lucas Kallyel 🟨,
83', Ciel ↓, Gustavo Barbosa ↑,
83', Allanzinho ↓, Samuel ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Thiaguinho ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

CRB is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviário has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Ferroviário have a series of guest games.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
15.03.25	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
23.02.25	Penedense - CRB Maceio	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.25	CRB Maceio - Sousa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.03.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.03.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL

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