Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.8
	1.68	3.35	5.2
	1.74	3.47	5.78
	1.7	3.2	4.4
	1.78	3.28	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	3.32 ↑ (3.11)	5.07 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
53.8%

Draw
28%

Londrina
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

CRB Maceio - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 23. Saimon 14. Anderson Conceicao (C) 6. Guilherme Romao 33. Lucas Lima 8. Juninho Valoura 18. Joao Paulo 11. Renato 77. Romulo Souza 9. Anselmo Ramon	1. Lucas Frigeri (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Gabriel 3. Patrick Marcelino 6. Guilherme Lacerda 5. Joao Paulo (C) 8. Moises Gaucho 10. Higor Leite 7. Paulinho Moccelin 11. Iago Dias 9. Lucas Coelho
Substitutes
22. Anderson Leite 5. Auremir 17. David Braw 26. Edimar 3. Gum 32. Hereda 19. Hyuri 98. Lucas Falcao 44. Matheus Mega 10. Rafael Longuine 78. Riquelme 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	13. Arthur Felix 19. Caio Mancha 20. Clinton 14. Da Silva 18. Diego Jardel 15. Natham 12. Neneca (G) 16. Nicolas Schulz 17. Victor Hugo 21. Vinicius Jau
Coaches
Paulista D.	Muller F.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 4.

CRB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Londrina has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Mike (Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Clayton (Injury) Garraty (Injury) Gustavo Salomao (Injury) Junior Dutra (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches CRB won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.23	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Ceará - CRB Maceio	1:3 ✺
07.06.23	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guarani - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LTWWW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Avaí - Londrina	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Londrina - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:0
18.05.22	CRB Maceio - Londrina	1:0
10.11.21	CRB Maceio - Londrina	1:0
08.08.21	Londrina - CRB Maceio	0:2
31.08.19	Londrina - CRB Maceio	0:1
28.04.19	CRB Maceio - Londrina	1:2
16.11.18	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:2

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