Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.65
	2.72	2.58	2.78	Watch
	2.97	2.74	3.02
				Watch
	2.62	2.75	2.7
	2.58	2.94	2.62	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.17)	2.79 ↓ (3.03)	2.8 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
34.7%

Draw
32.7%

Londrina
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo PB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Londrina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Botafogo PB - Londrina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Londrina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 99. Denilson 22. Erick 18. Evandro 17. Gabriel Honorio 5. Gama 8. Igor Maduro 3. Renie (C) 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison (C) 3. Caio Rodrigues 14. Cedric 9. Edson Carius 11. Iago Teles 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 10. Robson Duarte 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace
Substitutes
10. Camilo 6. Felippe Borges 7. Joao Diogo 29. Kaue Canela 28. Lucas Balardin 14. Robles Fuentes A. 88. Silvinho 12. Wallace (G) 15. Ynaia	20. Caio Rafael 22. Gabriel Canela 17. Henrique 2. Joao Vitor 24. Lucao (G) 21. Thauan 16. Vitor J. 13. Yago Lincoln 18. Ze Breno

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Wendel Lomar ⚽, Gabriel Honorio (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Denilson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iago Teles ↓, Henrique ↑,
46', Cedric ↓, Thauan ↑,
46', Edson Carius ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
57', Thallyson 🟨,
65', Igor Maduro 🟨,
67', Igor Maduro ↓, Camilo ↑,
67', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
71', Alison ↓, Caio Rafael ↑,
74', Denilson ↓, Kaue Canela ↑,
74', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', Thallyson 🟥,
90+5', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent form of Botafogo PB has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Londrina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
07.07.25	Botafogo PB - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.25	Londrina - Guarani	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
15.06.25	Londrina - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Caxias - Londrina	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	Londrina - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.06.24	Londrina - Botafogo PB	1:1
Copa do Brasil
03.04.19	Londrina - Botafogo PB	3:3
13.03.19	Botafogo PB - Londrina	0:2

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