Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Belence P. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.51	3.8	6
	1.58	3.5	5.3
	1.62	3.55	5.5
				Watch
	1.58	3.46	5.63	Watch
	1.48	3.8	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)	5.53 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
58.2%

Draw
25.3%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. CSA (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - CSA (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. CSA (votes: 3 - 50%). Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 4. Islan 3. Betao 6. Enzo 5. Camacho (C) 8. Gustavo Nicola 10. Luciano Naninho 18. Baianinho 9. Tiago Marques 11. Guilherme Cachoeira	30. Joao Soares (G) 23. Leo Paraiso 15. Wesley Junio 4. Iago Reis 22. Kaue Leonardo 8. Willyam Maranhao 10. Gharib 6. Ailton Santos 99. Ciel (C) 21. Natan 9. Kiuan
Substitutes
22. Cavalleri M. 14. Diogo Batista 20. Gabriel Vieira 12. Georgemy (G) 7. Gustavinho 19. Igor Bahia 15. Kevyn 13. Luiz Gustavo 16. Roberto 99. Robinho 17. Silas 25. Vander	25. Bryam 7. Felipe Cruz 26. Gabriel Moyses 13. Jeffao 19. Matheus Xavier 5. Ramires 2. Rikelmy 17. Rivas K. 31. Sivaldo Junior (G)
Coaches
Higo	Zorro T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Enzo (Pen),
20', 2 - 0, Tiago Marques ⚽,
22', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
42', Islan ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Wesley Junio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Willyam Maranhao ↓, Ramires ↑,
64', Kiuan ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
76', Baianinho 🟨,
76', Iago Reis ↓, Bryam ↑,
81', Kaue Leonardo ↓, Rikelmy ↑,
81', Natan ↓, Gabriel Moyses ↑,
86', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
87', Baianinho ↓, Roberto ↑,
87', Luciano Naninho ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, CSA is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CSA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, CSA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.25	CS Alagoano - Caxias	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	América RN - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sousa	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze	1:1 ✺
16.06.25	América RN - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
08.06.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.23	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1

CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide