Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Furtado A. S. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.95	4
	1.95	2.85	4.25
	1.99	2.95	3.95
	2.07	3.07	4.43
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.05	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
46.1%

Draw
31.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

32.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

32.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	42.1%	21.1%

CS Alagoano - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 5).

CSA is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novorizontino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CSA will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
14.05.22	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.05.22	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	CS Alagoano - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
17.05.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
13.05.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
07.05.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:1 ✺
04.05.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
01.05.22	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
01.11.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	✺

CS Alagoano - Grêmio Novorizontino