The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CS Alagoano 46.1%
Draw 31.5%
Grêmio Novorizontino 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
32.2%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
33.8%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
42.1%
21.1%
CS Alagoano - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 5).
CSA is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Novorizontino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.