Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Goncalves Lima J. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	4.1
	2.04	2.88	3.8
	1.98	2.95	4
	2.02	3.08	4.79
	2	2.9	4.2
	1.94	3.1	4.3
	2.01	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.27)	2.98 ↓ (3)	4.18 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
46.6%

Draw
31.2%

Guarani
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

32.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.1%	56.8%	8.1%

CS Alagoano - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 56.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CSA will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CSA won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.22	CS Alagoano - Tombense	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTTW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.22	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	0:1 ✺
06.09.22	Vila Nova - Guarani	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.06.22	Guarani - CS Alagoano	0:0
07.09.21	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0
15.06.21	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:1

CS Alagoano - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide