Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Vuaden L. (Bra)


	Chapecoense		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.6
	2.08	2.8	3.8
	2.16	2.95	3.45
	2.26	2.84	4.16
	2.1	2.9	3.8
	2.08	3.06	3.82
	2.18	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
43.5%

Draw
31.7%

CS Alagoano
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

33.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

32.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chapecoense - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16).

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chapecoense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.22	Londrina - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Chapecoense - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
29.08.22	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Sport Recife - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Chapecoense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.22	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
18.08.22	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.06.22	CS Alagoano - Chapecoense	1:1
10.11.20	CS Alagoano - Chapecoense	0:1
27.10.20	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
04.12.19	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	3:0
08.09.19	CS Alagoano - Chapecoense	2:0

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