Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Tombense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	5
	1.73	3.1	5.2
	1.76	3.15	4.9
	1.8	3.3	5.82
	1.75	3.1	5.25
	1.75	3.3	5.1
	1.75	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	5.18 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
52.9%

Draw
29.2%

Tombense
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

28.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

27.5%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	13.6%	6.8%

CS Alagoano - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: CS Alagoano will win (35 of 44 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 91.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 12).

Recent matches CSA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tombense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match CSA is a favorite.

There will not play in CSA: Cedric (Injury) Clayton (Injury) Ernandes (Injury) Everton Silva (Injury) Rickson B. (Red Card) Willian (Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Keke (Injury) Luan Rodrigues (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches CSA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.22	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ituano - Tombense	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bahia - Tombense	3:1 ✺
30.08.22	Tombense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Guarani - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.06.22	Tombense - CS Alagoano	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.09.17	CS Alagoano - Tombense	1:0
18.09.17	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:2

CS Alagoano - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide