Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	CS Alagoano		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.8	Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.75	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.9
	2.79	2.87	3.06
	2.6	2.88	2.88
	2.64	3.04	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.52)	2.88 ↓ (3.04)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
35.6%

Draw
32.1%

Juventude
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

20.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CS Alagoano - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

CSA is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CSA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
19.09.20	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
16.09.20	CS Alagoano - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
13.09.20	Osasco Sporting - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	CS Alagoano - Confiança	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTL
- EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
22.09.20	CRB Maceio - Juventude	1:0 ✺
17.09.20	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.09.20	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
08.09.20	Juventude - Confiança	3:1 ✺
05.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.11.18	Juventude - CS Alagoano	0:4
03.08.18	CS Alagoano - Juventude	1:0

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