Match Info

Date: 8 September 2020, Tuesday


	Juventude		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	4.33	Watch
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.08	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.09	2.75	4
	2.05	3.06	4.4
	2.1	2.88	3.9
	2.05	3.02	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.4)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	4 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
45.1%

Draw
31.7%

Confiança
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

22.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventude's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	12.3%	6.2%

Juventude - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 66 - 81.5%). Confiança will win (votes: 5 - 6.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 73% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Juventude have a series of guest games.

Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	1:3 ✺
01.09.20	Chapecoense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	América RN - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	CS Alagoano - Confiança	1:1 ✺
01.09.20	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0 ✺
23.08.20	Confiança - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.08.20	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTTT

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